financial markets


For the period 2001-2016, the buy and hold strategy no longer worked! It is likely that it will also not work in the future due to increasing stock market volatility. For this reason, some investors use simple market timing, mostly momentum driven, to exit and enter the markets according to market direction. Relying on only one market timer, such as a moving average crossover, is risky. Instead, many uncorrelated market timing strategies can be combined into a robust composite market timing model. We introduced six such component timers using the following:


Unemployment Rate (UNEMP) (detailed description); Performance of the High-Beta and Low-Beta stocks of the S&P 500; TED Spread; Market Climate Score; iM Standard Timer; and CBOE Volatility Index (VIX).

Composite Market Timer

The iM Composite Market Timer combines six timers based on the above indicators. Each component timer references a different causal set. The correlation of the models’ simulated p erformances is low. This provides for greater tolerance and robustness in case of some temporary data distortion of a component timer.

financial markets: Exelon Corporation(EXC)


Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Analysts are expecting Exelon Corporation (NYSE: EXC) to have earned $0.68 per share on revenue of $7.52 billion in the latest quarter. Exelon shares rose 0.34 percent to close at $35.38 on Thursday.

  • [By Horizon Investments]

    For the past year, Exelon Corp. (EXC) has had a roller coaster ride, with the stock having plummeted 15% since September 2012 – the company had announced a dividend cut of 41%, which led to a drop in the share price. Separately, the recent weak PJM auction prices did not bode well for the company. However, I believe the worst is priced in the stock price, and the company’s management is committed to improving its financial flexibility and cost structure in order to strengthen its financial performance. Also, the company is planning to incur capital expenditure (CAPEX) in the upcoming years, which will result in rate base growth for Exelon.

  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Exelon Corporation (NYSE: EXC) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.68 per share on revenue of $7.52 billion.

    CST Brands Inc (NYSE: CST) is projected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.22 per share on revenue of $2.30 billion.

financial markets: Comp En De Mn Cemig ADS(CIG)

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Jim Robertson]

    Yesterday, our Under the Radar Moversnewsletter suggestedgoing long on mid cap Brazilian utility stockCompanhia Energetica Minas Gerais (NYSE: CIG):

financial markets: Affimed N.V.(AFMD)


Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Affimed NV (NASDAQ: AFMD) is projected to post a quarterly loss at $0.18 per share on revenue of $1.71 million.

    Azure Midstream Partners, LP (NYSE: AZUR) is estimated to post its quarterly earnings at $0.10 per share on revenue of $21.26 million.

financial markets: Crestwood Equity Partners LP(CEQP)

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Lisa Levin]

    Crestwood Equity Partners LP (NYSE: CEQP) shares shot up 45 percent to $18.54 following the announcement of a new joint venture with Consolidated Edison, Inc. (NYSE: ED). Subsidiaries of both companies entered into an agreement on Thursday to form a joint venture in which they will jointly own and develop Crestwood’s existing natural gas pipeline and storage business in norther Pennsylvania and southern New York.

financial markets: Ctrip.com International, Ltd.(CTRP)


Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Benzinga's newsdesk monitors options activity to notice unusual patterns. These large volume (and often out of the money) trades were initially published intraday in Benzinga Professional . These trades were placed during Friday's regular session.

    Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) Jan17 77.5 Calls Sweep: 1022 @ ASK $4.45: 1066 traded vs 2466 OI: Earnings 7/28 $75.88 Ref Anacor Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: ANAC) Jan17 110 Calls: 500 @ Above Ask! $0.40: 509 traded vs 1860 OI: $99.22 Ref Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) (NASDAQ: CTRP) Jun16 41.25 Calls Sweep: 577 @ ASK $1.75: 649 traded vs 1927 OI: Earnings 6/15 After Close $40.54 Ref Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALNY) Jun16 65.0 Calls Sweep: 749 @ ASK $1.85: 813 traded vs 370 OI: $63.08 Ref WhiteWave Foods Co (NYSE: WWAV) Oct16 50.0 Calls: 600 @ ASK $1.60: 601 traded vs 430 OI: $45.16 Ref


    Posted-In: Unusual Put OptionsNews Options Markets

  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) (NASDAQ: CTRP) is estimated to post a quarterly loss at $0.09 per share on revenue of $2.81 billion.

    Cheetah Mobile Inc (ADR) (NYSE: CMCM) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.87 per share on revenue of $1.14 billion.

  • [By R. Chandrasekaran]

    The following companies are rated as Overweight:

    Tencent Holdings. Alibaba. Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) (NASDAQ: CTRP). Weibo Corp (ADR) (NASDAQ: WB). YY Inc (ADR) (NASDAQ: YY). Momo Inc (ADR) (NASDAQ: MOMO). Bitauto Hldg Ltd (ADR) (NYSE: BITA). Phoenix New Media Ltd ADR (NYSE: FENG). Neutral-Rated Names


    The following stocks are rated with Neutral:

  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Benzinga's newsdesk monitors options activity to notice unusual patterns. These large volume (and often out of the money) trades were initially published intraday in Benzinga Professional . These trades were placed during Thursday's regular session.

financial markets: Prima BioMed Ltd(PBMD)

Advisors’ Opinion:

  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Prima Biomed (NASDAQ: PBMD) dropped 38.17% to $1.45 after the company reported top-line analysis of CVac Phase 2 trial.

    Tower Group International (NASDAQ: TWGP) plummeted 24.31% to $10.49. Tower Group announced its plans to release its Q2 results during the week of October 7, 2013. FBR Capital downgraded the stock from Outperform to Market Perform.

  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Prima Biomed (NASDAQ: PBMD) shares dipped 38.59% to touch a new 52-week low of $1.44 after the company reported top-line analysis of CVac Phase 2 trial.